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Course Outline
Challenges for forecasters
- Planning for customer demand
- Uncertainty among investors
- Economic planning
- Seasonal fluctuations in demand and utilization
- The roles of risk and uncertainty
Time series Forecasting
- Seasonal adjustment
- Moving average
- Exponential smoothing
- Extrapolation
- Linear prediction
- Trend estimation
- Stationarity and ARIMA modelling
Econometric methods (causal methods)
- Regression analysis
- Multiple linear regression
- Multiple non-linear regression
- Regression validation
- Forecasting using regression
Judgemental methods
- Surveys
- Delphi method
- Scenario building
- Technology forecasting
- Forecast by analogy
Simulation and other methods
- Simulation
- Prediction market
- Probabilistic forecasting and Ensemble forecasting
Requirements
This course contributes to the Data Scientist skill set (Domain: Analytical Techniques and Methods).
14 Hours
Testimonials (2)
The exercises.
Elena Velkova - CEED Bulgaria
Course - Predictive Modelling with R
He was very informative and helpful.